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‘Elsa’ recap FL Summary
A weakened Tropical Storm Elsa dumped rain across Florida’s northern Gulf Coast early Wednesday, sparing the state from significant damage…
Elsa wobbled through the Gulf of Mexico, briefly reaching hurricane strength, but moved ashore as a tropical storm late Wednesday morning. The U.S. National Hurricane Center said the storm made landfall in lightly populated Taylor County, Florida, with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph (105 kph).
Gov. Ron DeSantis told a news conference that no major structural damage or storm deaths had been reported…
In Steinhatchee, Florida, not far from where Elsa came ashore, there was some flooding, but no worse than the town typically sees from heavy rain, said Melissa Roper, whose family owns Off The Clock Fisheries and Marina along the Steinhatchee River.
“It’s definitely a lot better than expected considering it was supposed to be a hurricane that hit,” Roper said. “We’re pretty fortunate.”
/News
Soli Deo gloria!
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Weather
Elsa
The NHC keeps nudging the intensity up. It looks like Elsa could make landfall as a Cat. 1 hurricane, although the conditions do not appear to be favorable for any kind of major development.
The 1900Z GOES satellite picture shows that Elsa is doing a pretty good job of washing down the entire west coast of Florida.
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Weather
Elsa
Tropical storm Elsa appears to be following the forecast track. There has been a slight increase in wind-speed, with the ‘possibility’ of the storm briefly reaching hurricane status while still over Gulf water—and then weakening prior to making landfall.
The following graphic is a good illustration of the bow wave off the starboard bow of the storm; the West coast of Florida will certainly be feeling the effect of its passing!
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Weather
Tropical Storm Elsa update
Things remain pretty much the same. The forecast track of the storm has been adjusted slightly to the West, which moves the point of landfall to possibly somewhere between the less densely populated areas of Cedar Key and Steinhatchee—maybe. The intensity forecast remains the same, with winds at landfall forecast to be around 65 MPH (57 Knots). NHC seems to think that the actual windspeed could be lower than that, which would be nice. We’ll see.
Watching...
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Weather
Update on Elsa
The Global and Hurricane Forecast Models have Tropical Storm Elsa tracking toward the West coast of Florida and making landfall somewhere around Tarpon Springs with wind speed somewhere around 55-60 MPH late Tuesday or early Wednesday.
Even though, hopefully, Elsa is not expected to reach hurricane strength, the oblique angle of approach means that there will be a lot of coastal development and people on the starboard bow of this storm; that’s where most of the resultant tornado’s from these things usually occur. There will no doubt be some wide-spread ‘pruning' of trees….
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Weather
Elsa
Elsa is doing its thing as it heads for the Gulf of Mexico, and what appears to be the West coast of Florida:
Still a few days out; it’s important to respect the uncertainty of dealing with weather. As the National Hurricane Center puts it: "It should be noted that the average NHC track errors are 175 miles and 200 miles at days 4 and 5, respectively. Given the larger-than-normal uncertainty and because hazards will extend well away from the center of the storm, users are urged to not focus on the exact forecast points.”
Watching…
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Weather
‘Elsa'
Here we are already in the second half of 2021! One month down in our six-month “tropical season” and we have a storm headed for the Gulf of Mexico. Elsa is still far away, but the current consensus has it tracking toward the “Big Bend” of Florida, and going ashore as a tropical storm on or about Wednesday 07 July. We’ll see.
Watching...
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