Tropical wave near the Turks and Caicos
Headed for the Gulf of Mexico….
A tropical wave located on Saturday near the Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, and eastern Cuba was headed west-northwest at 10 – 15 mph. This system has the potential to develop into a tropical depression when it enters the Gulf of Mexico on Monday. The Hurricane Hunters are on call to fly into the system on Monday, if neccessary.
The wave is expected to continue to battle high shear through Sunday as it moves over eastern Cuba and The Bahamas, and development is unlikely during this period. On Monday, the wave is expected to cross Florida and enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico, where a modest drop in wind shear may allow organization into a tropical depression to occur.
The 0Z Saturday European model forecast predicted a tropical depression would form on Monday and make landfall in Louisiana on Tuesday night, as did about 40% of the model’s ensemble members.
Watching…..
/fl