Dorian
The time of year has arrived when everyone around here gets restless about tropical storms.
This is one to keep a close eye on; it’s early, but right now it’s headed for the Old Bahama Channel, on a course that will put it into the Gulf of Mexico.
An ASCAT-B overpass at 0024 UTC revealed that Dorian is moving slightly faster than previously estimated, now 280/12 kt. Unlike the intensity guidance, the track models are in quite good agreement on the track of Dorian. The tropical storm should continue moving westward to west-northwestward at a similar forward speed, steered primarily by a mid-level ridge stretching across most of the central Atlantic. The NHC forecast is nearly on top of the previous advisory and remains very near the TVCN and HCCA consensus aids.
/fl